Philip Tetlock

He has spent a lot of his focus in his research in figuring out the accuracy of predictions.
He did a project involving about 28,000 predictions about the future and found that the forecasters were only slightly more accurate than chance. The more famous forecasters were especially bad, suggesting there is an inverse relationship between fame and accuracy

Tues, 20 Dec 2022 12:17:32 GMT

Philip Tetlock is a Canadian American political science writer who spent a lot of time researching accuracy of professional predictions .....