Alternative paths and risk not directly visible
Summary
- Risk cannot be seen directly, so we have to deliberately force ourself to think about it.
Details
- This can be done by thinking about alternate paths. for example, a risky way of doing something may pay off, but it may not. If it does we should consider the other possible outcome before trying another risky endeavor and recognise the success was a chance
- You will try to attribute success to hard work instead of chance. fight this tendancy.
References
Quotes
- Your brain will do everything to convince you that your success is warranted—no matter how risky your dealings are—and will obscure any thought of paths other than the one you are on.